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- 🏡 Washington County Activity Slows as New Home Sales Pull Back
🏡 Washington County Activity Slows as New Home Sales Pull Back
Northwest Arkansas Real Estate Data Analysis
Patrick Curry
December 26, 2025
November 2025 Washington County Analysis
🔑 Key Takeaways
📉 Real Estate Activity Down - Deed filings down -14% YoY.
🏡 Existing Home Sales Steady - Sales of existing homes rose +2.5% YoY.
🏗️⚠️ New Home Prices Up, Sales Drop – New home closings dropped -33.3% YoY, but median prices still jumped +7.2%.
🎅🎄 Merry Christmas! We hope you enjoy the holidays with friends and family!
🏡 Allegiance Market Analysis
November showed early signs of stress emerging in Washington County market. New home sales were the big surprise with a large drop in sales YoY. Median prices still increased in both Existing and New homes but appear to be moderating YoY.
🏠 Existing Home Sales — Washington County
📈 Sales – +1.8% YoY (170 vs. 167)
🏠 ➖ Median price – +2.5% YoY ($355,000 → $364,000)
🏠 ⚖️ Takeaway – Existing homes are leveling out YoY. The market isn’t on fire but isn’t showing any significant weaknesses either.
🏗️ New Home Sales - Washington County
📈 Median price – +7.2% YoY ($339,500 → $363,800)
📊 Sales – -33.3% YoY (86 → 58)
🔍 Takeaway – The decline in activity was primarily in the entry level home market. This is driving the median and average prices up on new homes. This is a trend worth watching. Benton County did not experience the same decline. December data will help determine whether this is noise or a developing trend.
🏦Mortgage Activity
30 Year Mortgage - Average rate is 6.24%
Mortgage Activity - Mortgage filings were up +5.9% YoY.
Deed Filings - Deed activity was down -14% YoY.
📰 Real Estate & Market News
🛫 XNA Success - The growth and success of XNA is a reflection of our region’s success. Total enplanements increased 11.3% year over year. XNA offers non-stop flights to 27 destinations now and total enplanements exceed that of Clinton National Airport in Little Rock.
🧑💼🏛️ Fed Chair - Attention remains on the Fed Chair selection process. Scott Bessent is supervising the vetting process and organizing the candidates for Trump. The favorite remains Kevin Hassett with a 57% chance of being selected.
📊⬆️ GDP Report - GDP growth of 4.3% during the third quarter versus an expected 3.3% annual increase. The fourth quarter will likely be a different story due to the government shutdown. Stronger than expected GDP growth will temper expectations for near-term rate cuts.
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